PolyBot

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Traders

Tremendous-Duty

0xf730ad6ece4f075edcea7283c7f609d62cce42cd

Realised P&L
$-37.91
Volume
$23.1k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4160.455$754.08+$64.86
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8740.855$337.72−$7.46
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6470.745$208.71+$27.36
Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · Yes0.3650.375$139.29+$3.86
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0980.080$123.60−$28.20
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8120.880$90.26+$7.00
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7900.850$34.00+$2.40
Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0990.055$23.14−$18.71
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · Yes0.3000.205$16.40−$7.60
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.0450.034$3.45−$1.18
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.003$2.46−$11.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 06:24Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0844444444$3.80
09-24 02:44Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0994622825$41.85
09-22 02:30Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.62$43.34
09-21 19:31Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.85$89.25
09-21 16:55Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1$132.21
09-21 16:45Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.716$358.18
09-20 01:33Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.14$45.48
09-17 15:20Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.17$45.91
09-17 15:14Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.43$34.40
09-17 00:58Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.86$12.90
09-13 18:15Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.781$62.48
09-11 05:19Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.764$14.29
09-11 05:17Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.31$0.48
09-11 05:16Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.31$133.30
09-11 05:13Will Deltan Dallagnol win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.18$36.00