Tremendous-Duty
0xf730ad6ece4f075edcea7283c7f609d62cce42cd
- Realised P&L
- $-37.91
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.05at 0.004Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$8.48at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$7.14at 0.149Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?
- +$5.29at 0.162Will Deltan Dallagnol win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
- +$2.57at 0.863Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 06:24 | Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0844444444 | $3.80 |
| 09-24 02:44 | Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0994622825 | $41.85 |
| 09-22 02:30 | Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.62 | $43.34 |
| 09-21 19:31 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $89.25 |
| 09-21 16:55 | Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $132.21 |
| 09-21 16:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.716 | $358.18 |
| 09-20 01:33 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.14 | $45.48 |
| 09-17 15:20 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.17 | $45.91 |
| 09-17 15:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.43 | $34.40 |
| 09-17 00:58 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 09-13 18:15 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.781 | $62.48 |
| 09-11 05:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.764 | $14.29 |
| 09-11 05:17 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.31 | $0.48 |
| 09-11 05:16 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.31 | $133.30 |
| 09-11 05:13 | Will Deltan Dallagnol win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.18 | $36.00 |