0xF72A2fCd0600a0A19250a877D02c4BD50bE07830-1768321349413
0xf72a2fcd0600a0a19250a877d02c4bd50be07830
- Realised P&L
- $-64.26
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $60.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.26at 0.140Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$6.33at 0.610Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
- +$4.91at 0.550Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
- +$4.06at 0.831Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?
- +$3.13at 0.390Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:32 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | BUY | 0.5157799611 | $11.00 |
| 06-05 16:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 06-05 16:35 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2642073691 | $15.00 |
| 02-17 13:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 08:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 9-15? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 02-09 08:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 9-15? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 02-09 08:49 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 02-04 20:21 | Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 02-04 20:20 | Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 08:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.86 |
| 02-02 08:24 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0549999486 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 08:23 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.19 |
| 02-02 08:23 | Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.1835884354 | $2.16 |
| 02-02 08:22 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.86 |
| 02-02 08:22 | Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.74 |