PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf724e04d47697c4bea883804106daf5a6da285cc

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$142.6k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0840.055$561.22$298.93
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2110.205$558.26$16.42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1890.095$430.49$425.30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0830.021$172.64$494.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$181.55
07-25 02:01Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.0842951632$860.15
07-25 01:55Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.0902633176$728.17
07-23 14:51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.29$424.46
07-21 12:34Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2699999997$435.97
07-17 12:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2299999994$270.61
07-17 09:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0786861042$546.12
07-16 18:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.22$168.91
07-08 14:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$491.38
07-08 14:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.95$658.45
07-08 14:09Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0858121872$788.94
07-08 14:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.95$658.44
07-07 14:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.92$425.10
07-01 11:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.7048564528$1.3k
06-30 09:46Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.95$319.89