PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf724e04d47697c4bea883804106daf5a6da285cc

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$191.6k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0630.055$2.3k$356.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1890.065$294.55$561.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 05:42Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.06$276.77
09-08 23:54Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.0556053547$533.07
09-07 23:40Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.0565640877$1.0k
09-07 23:38Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.914$992.82
08-24 17:32Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.005$40.34
08-18 14:54Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.7096709915$80.95
08-17 21:23Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.6909864657$175.12
08-11 20:45Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5639837436$819.89
08-11 20:44US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.81$827.15
08-07 15:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.57$114.22
08-07 15:04US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.57$150.77
08-04 17:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4837878209$718.94
08-04 10:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$544.64
08-02 19:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$181.55
07-25 02:01Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.0842951632$860.15