PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Avaghghgv

0xf71b9063150307684de1bb77647a79bbc4eff922

Realised P&L
$-400.41
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$277.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? · Yes0.1300.075$159.75$117.15
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1600.054$117.48$231.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 06:36Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?BUY0.13$82.03
07-22 06:32Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?BUY0.13$43.03
07-22 06:13Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?BUY0.13$71.63
07-22 06:08Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?BUY0.13$80.21
06-28 01:15Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?SELL0.0816860658$19.65
06-26 02:07Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.1277255871$74.40
06-15 06:03European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?BUY0.9$324.00
05-27 06:39Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.923$163.37
05-21 12:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.96$65.28
05-21 12:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.96$326.40
05-10 07:19Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.9729999999$343.46
04-30 14:14Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.6919999842$12.45
04-30 14:09Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.692$13.84
04-25 01:14Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.932$435.23
04-23 09:17Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9366676306$366.36