Avaghghgv
0xf71b9063150307684de1bb77647a79bbc4eff922
- Realised P&L
- $-400.41
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $277.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.075 | $159.75 | −$117.15 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.054 | $117.48 | −$231.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.46at 0.698Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$5.71at 0.923Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.973Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$2.34at 0.927Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.918Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 06:36 | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $82.03 |
| 07-22 06:32 | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $43.03 |
| 07-22 06:13 | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $71.63 |
| 07-22 06:08 | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $80.21 |
| 06-28 01:15 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.0816860658 | $19.65 |
| 06-26 02:07 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.1277255871 | $74.40 |
| 06-15 06:03 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $324.00 |
| 05-27 06:39 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.923 | $163.37 |
| 05-21 12:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.96 | $65.28 |
| 05-21 12:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.96 | $326.40 |
| 05-10 07:19 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9729999999 | $343.46 |
| 04-30 14:14 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.6919999842 | $12.45 |
| 04-30 14:09 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.692 | $13.84 |
| 04-25 01:14 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.932 | $435.23 |
| 04-23 09:17 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9366676306 | $366.36 |