Skitseblok
0xf6f19f31d9b82a77ff60b28d81bcde2cc4510095
- Realised P&L
- $129.60
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $479.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$977.91at 0.624Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$207.44at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$161.54at 0.650US military action against Iran before July?
- +$83.14at 0.741Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
- +$48.16at 0.472Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on July 7 at 5PM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 21:02 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 21:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 19:43 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.2697930683 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 07:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2422715379 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 07:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1318248797 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 07:19 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1198200303 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 16:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.48 | $30.00 |
| 08-24 16:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0129899682 | $40.00 |
| 08-24 16:38 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 16:37 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 13:14 | Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 13:13 | Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 13:07 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.0189999963 | $5.00 |