PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Skitseblok

0xf6f19f31d9b82a77ff60b28d81bcde2cc4510095

Realised P&L
$129.60
Volume
$27.2k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$479.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3740.439$117.10+$17.10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1180.138$116.39+$16.39
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.1200.130$108.50+$8.50
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.2700.165$61.16−$38.84
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.135$22.50+$2.50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4800.705$22.03+$7.03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0130.005$16.94−$23.06
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.3140.028$8.92−$91.08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5400.205$3.80−$6.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.029$1.68−$8.32
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Morocco finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 21:02FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5BUY0.4899999824$10.00
10-25 21:02Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.32$10.00
10-05 19:43Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.2697930683$100.00
09-15 07:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.2422715379$100.00
09-15 07:26NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1318248797$20.00
09-15 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.4699999944$10.00
09-15 07:19U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.1198200303$100.00
08-24 16:472026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.48$30.00
08-24 16:452026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.0129899682$40.00
08-24 16:38Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
08-24 16:37Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
08-24 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.1699999609$3.00
07-09 13:14Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
07-09 13:13Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.359999987$10.00
07-09 13:07World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?BUY0.0189999963$5.00