VLamarca
0xf6d6c194f7878c8fc0ce0ef1798e0239db65f810
- Realised P&L
- $630.87
- Volume
- $302.5k
- Markets traded
- 331
- Open portfolio
- $18.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded331
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.535Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.8kat 0.662Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
- +$2.6kat 0.572Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$2.2kat 0.864Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.385Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:20 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.939 | $9.39 |
| 11-01 01:46 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.44 |
| 11-01 01:45 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.865 | $173.00 |
| 11-01 01:44 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 10-31 19:48 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 10-31 15:28 | OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 10-31 15:16 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $168.00 |
| 10-31 15:14 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 10-31 02:54 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 10-30 06:52 | Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.225 | $10.99 |
| 10-30 06:52 | Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 10-30 01:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 10-28 16:49 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.25 | $97.92 |
| 10-28 16:46 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.50 |
| 10-28 16:26 | Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | BUY | 0.9371349528 | $83.33 |