PolyBot

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Traders

VLamarca

0xf6d6c194f7878c8fc0ce0ef1798e0239db65f810

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$221.4k
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3650.825$4.2k+$2.3k
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? · No0.8290.925$1.2k+$125.03
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · No0.9320.954$1.2k+$26.96
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? · No0.8350.895$942.21+$63.43
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.7120.835$901.77+$133.30
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8320.865$519.00+$20.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.8830.905$362.00+$8.80
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5960.445$182.45$62.10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8000.972$97.15+$17.15
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.8650.855$85.50$1.00
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.7000.715$71.50+$1.50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4910.415$41.50$7.60
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September? · No0.8760.870$34.80$0.25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6350.515$27.77$6.48
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5850.918$18.37+$6.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:46OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.82$41.00
09-15 02:00Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.68$33.99
09-15 02:00Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.68$67.99
09-14 23:16Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.905$9.05
09-13 04:12Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.65$19.50
09-13 04:03Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.65$57.81
09-09 14:56Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.74$74.00
09-09 14:56Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.73$50.13
09-08 21:29Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$113.90
09-08 21:20Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?BUY0.9380692651$155.48
09-05 01:06US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?BUY0.84$420.00
09-02 21:38Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.89$8.90
09-02 21:33Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.74$74.00
09-02 21:31Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.89$89.00
09-01 16:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.44$8.80