PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xblink

0xf6d381496df0845e68b7387f921c44f176757e6c

Realised P&L
$-22.83
Volume
$9.8k
Markets traded
285
Open portfolio
$896.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded285
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.5000.905$362.00+$162.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8140.876$61.32+$4.36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.095$38.00−$162.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · No0.8400.845$33.80+$0.20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.3910.581$31.37+$10.24
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.7920.810$16.20+$0.35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6790.865$15.57+$3.35
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.4670.740$14.79+$5.46
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.2150.285$13.95+$3.43
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.6270.930$13.93+$4.54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8100.845$12.68+$0.53
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.7100.775$11.63+$0.97
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.6090.905$11.22+$3.67
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30? · No0.8200.991$9.90+$1.71
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.8400.955$9.55+$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 17:07Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?SELL0.34$1.02
10-10 17:06Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?SELL0.37$2.59
10-10 10:14Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?BUY0.82$4.10
10-10 09:28Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?BUY0.869$4.34
10-09 23:19Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.44$4.40
10-08 20:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$4.00
10-08 07:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.87$4.35
10-08 07:46US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.84$4.20
10-08 07:42Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?SELL0.049$0.45
10-08 07:42Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?SELL0.049$1.02
10-07 08:00Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.85$4.25
10-07 07:48Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$3.55
10-04 10:00Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)SELL0.19$0.95
10-03 08:55Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.78$3.90
10-03 08:55Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.63$3.15