6idontknow123451334
0xf6c9bf136dd67afb78942ce6f5e9ff64ef031c13
- Realised P&L
- $7.6k
- Volume
- $250.7k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.592US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.371Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.412US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.612Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
- +$652.50at 0.365Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:36 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4949999551 | $550.92 |
| 09-15 14:35 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5416953483 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 21:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $199.22 |
| 09-13 19:27 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $224.64 |
| 09-13 19:26 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | SELL | 0.16 | $85.73 |
| 09-11 19:26 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $740.00 |
| 09-11 19:23 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.1830720872 | $52.42 |
| 09-11 19:23 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | BUY | 0.2552511151 | $136.77 |
| 09-11 00:58 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.235 | $9.40 |
| 09-10 18:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $380.87 |
| 09-07 16:38 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 09-07 15:38 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.14 | $62.24 |
| 09-07 15:06 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | SELL | 0.2368048651 | $165.30 |
| 09-05 04:10 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $31.98 |
| 09-05 00:01 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | SELL | 0.2609854545 | $14.35 |