PolyBot

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Traders

6idontknow123451334

0xf6c9bf136dd67afb78942ce6f5e9ff64ef031c13

Realised P&L
$7.6k
Volume
$250.7k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$6.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4000.235$2.1k$1.5k
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5420.645$1.3k+$207.09
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4950.625$695.61+$144.69
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.5060.640$593.59+$124.21
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.4730.665$409.01+$117.78
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? · No0.4990.988$373.57+$184.91
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? · Yes0.7080.959$318.90+$83.35
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes0.2230.162$237.26$90.79
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1250.155$87.29+$16.69
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? · No0.1880.891$72.91+$57.52
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? · Yes0.4240.992$15.07+$8.62
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.7700.825$8.25+$0.55
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? · Yes0.3100.065$4.87$18.35
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$6.97
Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 14:36Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.4949999551$550.92
09-15 14:35Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5416953483$1.1k
09-14 21:14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.48$199.22
09-13 19:27Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.23$224.64
09-13 19:26Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?SELL0.16$85.73
09-11 19:26Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.37$740.00
09-11 19:23Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.1830720872$52.42
09-11 19:23Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?BUY0.2552511151$136.77
09-11 00:58Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?BUY0.235$9.40
09-10 18:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$380.87
09-07 16:38OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.77$7.70
09-07 15:38Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.14$62.24
09-07 15:06Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?SELL0.2368048651$165.30
09-05 04:10Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?SELL0.26$31.98
09-05 00:01Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?SELL0.2609854545$14.35