StealthSquirrel
0xf6c9befe9f76df9292e92f716096a78c41c18b3f
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.714 | 0.745 | $1.8k | +$74.00 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.665 | $664.99 | −$5.00 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.550 | $329.99 | −$12.00 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes | 0.661 | 0.650 | $232.10 | −$3.88 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.335 | $33.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.495 | $14.87 | +$12.77 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.070 | $5.60 | +$3.12 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.029 | $2.85 | −$1.55 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · No | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.295TikTok sale announced by March 31?
- +$839.91at 0.027TikTok sale announced in 2025?
- +$542.21at 0.766Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
- +$68.50at 0.711Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
- +$16.53at 0.924Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:04 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $156.68 |
| 10-14 08:56 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 10-14 08:55 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? | BUY | 0.031 | $2.48 |
| 10-12 23:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $730.00 |
| 10-12 23:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $669.99 |
| 10-12 23:57 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $268.97 |
| 10-12 23:50 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $16.30 |
| 01-06 06:57 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7108348502 | $200.00 |
| 12-19 00:38 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | SELL | 0.7900172824 | $869.90 |
| 12-18 23:46 | TikTok sale announced by March 31? | SELL | 0.9426364213 | $3.1k |
| 12-18 23:43 | Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | SELL | 0.903036583 | $3.6k |
| 12-18 21:32 | Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $200.00 |
| 12-18 21:31 | Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $200.00 |
| 12-18 21:30 | Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.7985175522 | $200.00 |
| 12-18 21:27 | Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $200.00 |