poli98
0xf6c750f4f5fdcecb55f951792e1902fcfaa46e05
- Realised P&L
- $-176.15
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $97.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.70at 0.710Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
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- +$11.16at 0.732Solana Up or Down - January 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$10.97at 0.750Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?
- +$10.86at 0.736Solana Up or Down - January 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 06:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8229999743 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 06:21 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:19 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8580325879 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:19 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.938374413 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 06:19 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 06:18 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:18 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9299999572 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 06:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:16 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $10.10 |
| 07-15 09:58 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999699 | $23.00 |
| 07-15 09:58 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999616 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:57 | Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9339999978 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:55 | Will XRP reach $1.40 in July? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:55 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999981 | $10.00 |