PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

poli98

0xf6c750f4f5fdcecb55f951792e1902fcfaa46e05

Realised P&L
$-176.15
Volume
$24.6k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$97.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8700.880$15.17+$0.17
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8230.830$15.12+$0.12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9300.935$15.09+$0.08
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9380.936$14.96$0.04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.8580.899$10.48+$0.48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.9200.945$10.27+$0.27
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · No0.9400.938$9.97$0.03
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.375$6.15$3.85
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.81
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$1.00
Rams vs. Falcons · Rams0.7700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$3.95
Spread: Packers (-1.5) · Packers0.9400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$51.00
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 06:22Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8229999743$15.00
09-15 06:21Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.609999986$10.00
09-15 06:19Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.8580325879$10.00
09-15 06:19Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.938374413$15.00
09-15 06:19Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.8699999652$15.00
09-15 06:18Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?BUY0.9399999887$10.00
09-15 06:18Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9299999572$15.00
09-15 06:17US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9199999338$10.00
09-15 06:16Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.92$10.10
07-15 09:58Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.9599999699$23.00
07-15 09:58Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9599999616$10.00
07-15 09:57Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.95$10.00
07-15 09:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.9339999978$10.00
07-15 09:55Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?BUY0.95$10.00
07-15 09:55Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?BUY0.9609999981$10.00