0xf6adc6c6ca18a2bd4a0f1800206563d15efa939e
0xf6adc6c6ca18a2bd4a0f1800206563d15efa939e
- Realised P&L
- $-9.95
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $8.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$4.00at 0.002Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
- +$1.38at 0.002Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
- +$0.00at 0.038Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- +$0.00at 0.005Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 17:29 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 10-14 05:29 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.88 |
| 10-12 22:51 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.22 |
| 10-12 04:24 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 10-04 16:46 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.21 |