PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF6ad62471b5C7039BbC8D427bF5Dbc309411664e-1767478217580

0xf6ad62471b5c7039bbc8d427bf5dbc309411664e

Realised P&L
$-14.84
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$42.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1140.112$15.05$0.34
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2120.152$6.38$2.54
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1320.168$5.86+$1.24
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0530.043$5.52$1.37
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1650.191$3.82+$0.52
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0770.035$3.45$4.25
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0300.024$2.35$0.65
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0190.005$0.28$0.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$4.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$4.90
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$4.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.2010.000$0.00$5.03
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 11AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.15
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.5430.000$0.00$2.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 18:59Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.03$3.00
07-28 12:20Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.08$0.78
02-28 22:09Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?BUY0.039$0.97
02-28 18:31Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.429$4.29
02-03 20:42XRP Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.54$2.62
01-30 22:37Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?BUY0.011$1.10
01-30 22:19Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?BUY0.01$3.00
01-30 21:32Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?BUY0.008$1.04
01-30 20:24Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?BUY0.018$1.80
01-30 19:38Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?BUY0.013$1.30
01-25 08:36XRP Up or Down - January 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.17$1.68
01-25 08:36XRP Up or Down - January 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.89$8.86
01-25 08:28Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.95$18.98
01-24 22:44XRP Up or Down - January 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.001$0.01
01-24 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1PM ETSELL0.999$9.98