ronm238
0xf66f1f8f742b301e03eed9480956373a6ef98e0c
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $4.32M
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $235.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.6kat 0.703Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$19.0kat 0.862Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$12.0kat 0.655Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$5.8kat 0.882Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$5.0kat 0.590Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:41 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 03:40 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.0449999999 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 03:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.9778015698 | $2.0k |
| 10-31 13:00 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 10-31 12:57 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 10-29 14:07 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0117538186 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 04:06 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9447790985 | $5.0k |
| 10-29 04:05 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.9680462162 | $8.6k |
| 10-27 22:18 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9485481525 | $14.2k |
| 10-27 22:17 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.8041402496 | $14.2k |
| 10-26 23:29 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.95 | $18.00 |
| 10-26 23:29 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $18.41 |
| 10-26 23:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9470927263 | $5.5k |
| 10-26 23:27 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.4466832616 | $805.71 |
| 10-26 23:26 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.539023746 | $1.0k |