fapa
0xf6672519a63522417409c4eb8930d287ab9f39c6
- Realised P&L
- $-23.65
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $48.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.31at 0.510US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$27.61at 0.370Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.96at 0.160Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
- +$5.79at 0.467Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$5.57at 0.731Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 14:19 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 19:49 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 19:48 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | BUY | 0.2669999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 18:25 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 18:23 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | BUY | 0.2439999914 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 12:21 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 12:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 12:09 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9509999958 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 16:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 21:57 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9639999998 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 15:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7239999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 01:45 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8589999418 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 20:47 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9159999938 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 02:17 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9149999927 | $10.00 |