Buy1Get1Free
0xf653c27e82ca6d1fdc18c612a66baed232648be5
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $1.89M
- Markets traded
- 368
- Open portfolio
- $1.21M
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded368
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.817 | $979.8k | +$379.8k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.183 | $220.2k | −$379.8k |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.919 | 0.912 | $4.5k | −$30.35 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $2.9k | −$16.62 |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.915 | $1.9k | +$10.28 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? · Yes | 0.916 | 0.998 | $522.50 | +$42.74 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.855 | $316.08 | −$5.54 |
| Will Trump say "Burger" in October? · No | 0.789 | 0.786 | $55.02 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.3kat 0.073Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
- +$21.0kat 0.667Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$2.0kat 0.980Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)
- +$421.28at 0.999Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$276.40at 0.193Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 05:35 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $155.38 |
| 11-02 05:13 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $166.25 |
| 11-02 05:13 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.9k |
| 11-02 05:03 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.9k |
| 11-02 05:03 | Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9186507404 | $4.5k |
| 11-02 04:14 | Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9980099012 | $503.99 |
| 11-02 04:12 | Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.99 | $103.95 |
| 11-02 00:37 | Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Broncos during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9675408223 | $49.18 |
| 11-02 00:37 | Will the season series between the Broncos and Chiefs end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.924279618 | $45.48 |
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Patriots during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.999 | $208.79 |
| 11-01 21:51 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | BUY | 0.7894285714 | $55.26 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.858 | $80.65 |
| 11-01 21:08 | Will the Vikings win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9986703297 | $454.40 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the Browns win the season series against the Steelers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.999 | $304.69 |
| 11-01 20:59 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.9485283019 | $150.82 |