PolyBot

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Traders

riskmanagement467

0xf649af31d4f6c6489931d1b204f5b26bace121f7

Realised P&L
$174.46
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.966$619.47+$80.60
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.981$565.06+$46.39
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · No0.9710.984$272.50+$3.65
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9300.972$229.54+$9.92
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.7710.963$140.04+$27.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.979$131.41+$29.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.983$108.14+$13.48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9200.995$94.35+$7.11
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9000.967$71.69+$4.93
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.7800.972$63.15+$12.45
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1510.022$37.65−$215.34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.6000.034$33.66−$568.80
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.8500.933$18.16+$1.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.042$13.94−$0.20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0990.015$9.68−$52.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:03Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.037$1.55
11-01 01:57Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.039$3.12
10-31 06:44Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.042$2.35
10-30 21:50Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.047$6.11
10-30 21:22Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.953$139.40
06-02 12:49Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.926004857$5.6k
04-20 12:40US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.78$50.70
04-15 14:40Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$1.08
04-08 05:34Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.85$17.00
04-08 05:34Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$1.60
04-08 05:26US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?BUY0.27$1.35
04-08 05:24US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?BUY0.27$1.35
04-07 12:50Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
04-07 12:46Will Venezuela become 51st state?BUY0.956$4.78
04-07 12:40Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.912$4.56