riskmanagement467
0xf649af31d4f6c6489931d1b204f5b26bace121f7
- Realised P&L
- $174.46
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$557.23at 0.222MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
- +$115.04at 0.405Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$88.16at 0.820Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$59.16at 0.545Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$37.69at 0.756Will $MARU reach $900M in Q1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.55 |
| 11-01 01:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.12 |
| 10-31 06:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $2.35 |
| 10-30 21:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $6.11 |
| 10-30 21:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $139.40 |
| 06-02 12:49 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.926004857 | $5.6k |
| 04-20 12:40 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $50.70 |
| 04-15 14:40 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 04-08 05:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 04-08 05:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 04-08 05:26 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 04-08 05:24 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 04-07 12:50 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 12:46 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.956 | $4.78 |
| 04-07 12:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.912 | $4.56 |