qaz1234567890
0xf63a2bc1c39487f6009efd028c56efb8ee7c5d80
- Realised P&L
- $191.20
- Volume
- $137.4k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$276.24at 0.854Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
- +$259.40at 0.962Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
- +$196.16at 0.476US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$162.60at 0.917Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?
- +$133.39at 0.921Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:28 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 08-02 22:33 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9273201161 | $396.17 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 30? | BUY | 0.980156116 | $114.27 |
| 08-02 03:47 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.3458338195 | $41.50 |
| 08-02 02:15 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.3988268448 | $38.21 |
| 08-01 20:55 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $14.82 |
| 08-01 20:53 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9643541721 | $73.73 |
| 08-01 15:14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $52.26 |
| 08-01 15:13 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149569844 | $82.93 |
| 08-01 12:26 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $62.88 |
| 08-01 12:19 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $80.03 |
| 08-01 12:18 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $52.03 |
| 08-01 12:16 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.29857 | $5.97 |
| 08-01 12:16 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2529765013 | $77.51 |
| 08-01 12:15 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $33.53 |