qaz1234567890
0xf63a2bc1c39487f6009efd028c56efb8ee7c5d80
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $229.2k
- Markets traded
- 183
- Open portfolio
- $983.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded183
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 22? · No | 0.990 | 0.992 | $495.75 | +$0.75 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 22? · No | 0.993 | 0.996 | $173.79 | +$0.51 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.626 | $125.30 | +$6.30 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.585 | $53.96 | −$29.12 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.260 | $52.00 | −$4.00 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.430 | $43.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No | 0.380 | 0.175 | $35.00 | −$41.00 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.740 | $4.44 | +$1.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$384.94at 0.876Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$353.40at 0.420US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$276.24at 0.854Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
- +$259.40at 0.962Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
- +$222.51at 0.197Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.53 |
| 09-22 16:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 09-22 10:13 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 09-22 10:08 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 09-22 06:47 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.985 | $197.00 |
| 09-22 06:47 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 09-21 14:27 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $123.75 |
| 09-21 06:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-21 04:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.19 |
| 09-21 03:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $655.35 |
| 09-19 16:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.41 | $77.49 |
| 09-19 01:18 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 01:16 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 09-19 01:16 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 09-18 12:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.84 | $168.00 |