PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

elv

0xf5fddbce23957217451b2517ab03744279123348

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$51.1k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.1900.960$959.50+$769.50
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5300.555$138.75+$6.25
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5000.400$80.00−$20.00
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1530.104$73.15−$33.95
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.1600.145$72.50−$7.50
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0150.001$1.92−$55.29
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0210.001$0.12−$5.04
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 18:46Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.006$5.73
09-08 18:42Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.45$45.00
09-08 18:41Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)BUY0.39$78.00
08-24 06:32Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.19$190.00
08-24 06:22Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0904903215$95.00
08-22 17:50Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1048823692$200.00
07-23 07:48Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.261$83.52
07-14 20:47France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5SELL0.46$92.00
07-14 19:45France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfSELL0.08$24.00
07-12 15:00Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?BUY0.031$15.50
07-12 14:49Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.451$214.76
07-10 18:21Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsBUY0.439999993$30.00
07-09 17:18Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.5399999985$36.00
07-09 17:04GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?BUY0.017$20.00
07-09 15:01Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY0.5299999966$60.00