PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vyrgyl

0xf5fbff9abe8db2be11957f4ecce259d076be6eb5

Realised P&L
$-685.96
Volume
$178.7k
Markets traded
264
Open portfolio
$739.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded264
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · No0.6360.440$298.68−$132.87
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? · No0.6040.503$134.49−$26.84
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.6190.620$115.23+$0.18
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.5110.221$61.79−$81.25
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.6310.415$57.85−$30.18
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.5720.825$54.37+$16.67
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0860.049$10.19−$7.74
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1480.003$3.88−$225.25
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? · Yes0.2300.054$2.81−$9.15
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR? · Yes0.3000.026$0.53−$5.47
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$50.00
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.5180.000$0.00−$2.55
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$2.60
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Oumar Sy0.6800.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 10:43Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.572$37.69
09-29 19:46Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?BUY0.68$40.80
09-29 15:15Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.089$3.63
09-29 15:14Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.087$1.74
09-29 15:14Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.086$1.73
09-29 15:14Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0848344924$3.05
09-27 17:36Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.17$107.24
09-27 17:36Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.169$2.54
09-27 17:28Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.13$80.90
09-27 17:28Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.129$3.87
09-27 17:27Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.128$0.83
09-23 07:49Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.183$9.67
09-23 07:48Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.183$13.94
09-23 07:47Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.3693656743$113.52
09-23 07:46Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?SELL0.428$122.08