Vyrgyl
0xf5fbff9abe8db2be11957f4ecce259d076be6eb5
- Realised P&L
- $-685.96
- Volume
- $178.7k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $739.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.354Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$1.9kat 0.963Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$1.5kat 0.510Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.613Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$887.12at 0.679Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:43 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.572 | $37.69 |
| 09-29 19:46 | Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? | BUY | 0.68 | $40.80 |
| 09-29 15:15 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.089 | $3.63 |
| 09-29 15:14 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.087 | $1.74 |
| 09-29 15:14 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.086 | $1.73 |
| 09-29 15:14 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0848344924 | $3.05 |
| 09-27 17:36 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.17 | $107.24 |
| 09-27 17:36 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.169 | $2.54 |
| 09-27 17:28 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.13 | $80.90 |
| 09-27 17:28 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.129 | $3.87 |
| 09-27 17:27 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.128 | $0.83 |
| 09-23 07:49 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.183 | $9.67 |
| 09-23 07:48 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.183 | $13.94 |
| 09-23 07:47 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.3693656743 | $113.52 |
| 09-23 07:46 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | SELL | 0.428 | $122.08 |