5la9zsuljtmt
0xf57e8eb3768573e73bba9e450827cad7b3745cee
- Realised P&L
- $-77.38
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $37.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.959 | $10.03 | +$1.03 |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.860 | $7.97 | +$2.97 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.889 | 0.955 | $6.70 | +$0.46 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.455 | $3.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.610 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.545 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.455 | $1.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.405 | $1.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.415 | $1.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.75at 0.166Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
- +$66.20at 0.255Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner
- +$61.91at 0.268Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
- +$36.07at 0.317Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
- +$32.89at 0.319Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 13:21 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 13:21 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 13:21 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 13:20 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |