PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

newguy666

0xf579036e211211ab1d5d944f1665c394d5959989

Realised P&L
$22.7k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
600
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded600
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3600.505$757.50+$217.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? · Yes0.7680.835$480.01+$38.30
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.6930.770$176.35+$17.63
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.255$73.44$21.60
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.3300.015$7.37$149.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.175$3.02$6.98
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0880.054$2.73$1.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:38Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.7$48.32
09-17 01:38Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.69$110.40
09-15 01:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$748.71
09-12 07:56LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.4531902632$50.00
09-12 07:55LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.18$54.00
09-12 07:38LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.35$105.00
09-12 06:29LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4699999988$100.00
09-11 05:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.7699999948$44.36
09-11 05:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.7699999994$640.89
09-11 05:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.7628392861$198.18
09-10 22:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?BUY0.87$43.50
09-10 22:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?BUY0.8516690865$204.46
09-10 22:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?BUY0.9092434205$2.0k
09-10 15:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?SELL0.2815526265$337.29
09-10 12:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?SELL0.29$26.10