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Traders

newguy666

0xf579036e211211ab1d5d944f1665c394d5959989

Realised P&L
$21.1k
Volume
$1.33M
Markets traded
617
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded617
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.8420.695$2.1k−$441.86
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7600.987$987.00+$227.00
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.7010.547$273.50−$77.00
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.8300.825$246.77−$1.50
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6700.445$133.50−$67.50
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.4800.565$113.00+$17.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.255$92.59+$27.23
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.145$41.76−$53.28
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.770$15.40+$3.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.125$2.16−$7.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:38Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.16$64.64
11-01 15:38Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$55.64
10-28 20:18Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.83$4.15
10-28 20:15Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.8$800.00
10-28 20:14Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.8$800.00
10-28 20:14Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.8$800.00
10-25 05:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?SELL0.02661$2.66
10-01 09:43Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.48$76.80
10-01 05:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?BUY0.79$79.00
09-30 07:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in October?BUY0.901$101.93
09-25 03:03Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DBUY0.82$21.87
09-23 09:18Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6$12.00
09-23 09:18Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$1.2k
09-18 07:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.54$6.40
09-18 06:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.5391313789$74.48