pbezukhov
0xf56eed62ac04fa46151ce8d93f124e3413c5f316
- Realised P&L
- $-400.66
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $74.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.67at 0.720Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$93.01at 0.411Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$33.74at 0.807Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$23.38at 0.461Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$19.50at 0.610Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 20:45 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.62 | $38.01 |
| 09-08 20:44 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-11 22:19 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-11 22:18 | Will Kai or Speed die to a Wither? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 08-11 20:05 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 08-10 07:18 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.01 |
| 08-10 07:15 | Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.89 |
| 08-09 14:53 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 14:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 12:18 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.388637498 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 09:54 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $50.00 |
| 08-09 09:26 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16? | BUY | 0.839999995 | $20.00 |
| 06-11 20:59 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8764741091 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 20:58 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.30 |
| 06-11 20:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.984 | $7.93 |