PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF567Ca87AabaC59bF20EFdE8FC8e0d69Fc4c1402-1773060576144

0xf567ca87aabac59bf20efde8fc8e0d69fc4c1402

Realised P&L
$-410.36
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$340.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes0.1820.245$114.05+$29.51
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.375$90.52+$20.52
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3530.555$31.42+$11.42
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.370$18.97$1.03
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2960.045$18.55$103.54
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.185$9.74$0.26
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1170.070$7.81$5.19
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3400.150$6.62$8.38
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · Yes0.5190.230$6.20$7.80
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3180.029$5.26$51.38
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.7400.765$5.17+$0.17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.945$5.03+$0.03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.5500.525$4.77$0.23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.4200.385$4.58$0.42
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.3400.305$4.49$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:44Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?SELL0.25$52.79
09-16 19:44Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.28$15.40
09-16 09:31Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.28$14.00
09-16 09:30Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.27$1.85
09-15 22:11Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.18$27.00
09-15 19:09Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6200787066$10.00
09-15 16:56Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.17$17.89
09-14 17:29Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.16$11.00
09-14 15:41Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.339999985$5.00
09-14 15:41Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-14 15:40Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.549999956$5.00
09-14 15:40Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-14 15:40Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9399999962$5.00
09-12 17:44Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.1449275362$30.00
09-09 17:06Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3899999945$20.00