0xF567Ca87AabaC59bF20EFdE8FC8e0d69Fc4c1402-1773060576144
0xf567ca87aabac59bf20efde8fc8e0d69fc4c1402
- Realised P&L
- $-410.36
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $340.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.33at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$29.54at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$26.49at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$18.87at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$18.50at 0.555Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:44 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $52.79 |
| 09-16 19:44 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $15.40 |
| 09-16 09:31 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 09-16 09:30 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.85 |
| 09-15 22:11 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $27.00 |
| 09-15 19:09 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6200787066 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 16:56 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.89 |
| 09-14 17:29 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.00 |
| 09-14 15:41 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:41 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 17:44 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.1449275362 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 17:06 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |