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Traders

pg1313

0xf53e20e9f3f3338fdc9cee435d544b0d23a32728

Realised P&L
$6.9k
Volume
$164.8k
Markets traded
185
Open portfolio
$8.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded185
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8450.981$2.3k+$311.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6820.964$1.4k+$409.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7790.972$1.2k+$247.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.980$1.1k+$43.45
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8450.726$917.06−$151.54
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6800.445$445.00−$235.00
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9590.980$362.42+$7.64
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6100.937$281.10+$98.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$9.93
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$204.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$104.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$100.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00−$98.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9? · No0.1170.000$0.00−$11.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 16:44Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.9880541213$635.32
10-30 16:43Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.9753470035$975.34
10-30 16:43Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9828108333$2.4k
09-22 17:52Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?BUY0.76$138.26
09-22 17:47Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?BUY0.6638905104$634.61
09-22 06:27Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.78$312.00
09-06 09:30Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.38$49.40
09-06 09:28Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.53$368.35
09-06 09:26Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.3683333333$88.40
09-05 19:47Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7613802462$160.19
09-05 19:45Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?BUY0.934$280.19
09-05 19:44Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.93$744.00
09-05 19:43Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?BUY0.933$554.20
09-05 19:40Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 6?BUY0.029$23.20
09-05 19:39Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 6?BUY0.026$15.60
Trader pg1313 · PolyBot Pro