Christofferstroem
0xf4fd6471e46383359c5e31e90c384935972a0786
- Realised P&L
- $-7.58
- Volume
- $484.22
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next YouTube video? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.375 | $4.33 | +$1.33 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.012 | 0.010 | $4.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.115 | $1.47 | −$3.53 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on September 30? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.560Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 30?
- +$0.82at 0.712Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.08at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$-4.06at 0.639Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on September 30?
- +$-5.21at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:55 | Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 04:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 04:42 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 12:09 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7039999183 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 09-30 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 20:20 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on September 30? | BUY | 0.4499999656 | $3.93 |
| 09-29 20:18 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on September 30? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 20:17 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 30? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $6.00 |