PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Artyos

0xf4f081600830392b761b8d5930393f33efb08646

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$76.1k
Markets traded
720
Open portfolio
$192.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded720
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8200.925$46.25+$5.25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.5800.805$37.60+$10.51
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.5160.740$37.07+$11.22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.6200.535$10.70$1.70
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4400.405$9.31$0.80
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.225$9.00$3.80
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch · Yes0.6000.430$8.60$3.40
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.1200.500$7.50+$5.70
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1190.269$6.72+$3.75
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.2000.515$4.12+$2.52
Will Trump say "Marxist" in August? · Yes0.7500.785$3.92+$0.17
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.0900.048$3.80$3.40
Will Trump say "Death to America" in August? · No0.7700.665$3.33$0.52
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.3000.465$2.79+$0.99
Will Trump say "Antifa" in August? · Yes0.1900.195$1.17+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.62$12.40
08-02 06:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.44$10.12
08-01 12:00Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in August?BUY0.56$16.24
08-01 11:59US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.981$7.85
08-01 11:57Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.028$0.56
08-01 11:57US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.76$0.81
08-01 11:57Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.967$4.83
08-01 11:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?SELL0.37$4.81
07-31 06:12Will Trump say "Marxist" in August?BUY0.75$3.75
07-31 06:11Will Trump say "Death to America" in August?BUY0.77$3.85
07-31 06:10Will Trump say "Antifa" in August?BUY0.19$1.14
07-31 05:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$13.99
07-20 05:52Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$4.35
07-18 11:07Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.23$1.61
07-18 06:54Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?BUY0.38$1.90