Artyos
0xf4f081600830392b761b8d5930393f33efb08646
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $76.1k
- Markets traded
- 720
- Open portfolio
- $192.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded720
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.75at 0.287Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$125.00at 0.200Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$53.60at 0.482Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
- +$52.20at 0.130Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$48.05at 0.834Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-02 06:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $10.12 |
| 08-01 12:00 | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in August? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.24 |
| 08-01 11:59 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $7.85 |
| 08-01 11:57 | Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.56 |
| 08-01 11:57 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.81 |
| 08-01 11:57 | Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $4.83 |
| 08-01 11:56 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.81 |
| 07-31 06:12 | Will Trump say "Marxist" in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 07-31 06:11 | Will Trump say "Death to America" in August? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 07-31 06:10 | Will Trump say "Antifa" in August? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 07-31 05:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 07-20 05:52 | Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 07-18 11:07 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.61 |
| 07-18 06:54 | Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |