64MGX75VLQ
0xf4d0b62bafd9c9bf1b4b1d9ff849568ea3be4637
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $972.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,093
- Open portfolio
- $31.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,093
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.938Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.917Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$622.02at 0.904Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$387.83at 0.971Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
- +$249.44at 0.748Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 08:47 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.15 |
| 10-12 08:47 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.66 |
| 10-12 08:45 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 10-12 08:45 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $147.26 |
| 10-12 07:49 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 10-12 07:47 | Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 23:40 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 10:25 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 16:01 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 6.1 or more? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.40 |
| 10-10 16:01 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 16:01 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 16:00 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 16:00 | Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 15:56 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 10-09 18:49 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |