PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

64MGX75VLQ

0xf4d0b62bafd9c9bf1b4b1d9ff849568ea3be4637

Realised P&L
$7.2k
Volume
$957.0k
Markets traded
956
Open portfolio
$36.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded956
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9110.975$14.6k+$958.23
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.595$7.1k+$1.1k
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.405$4.9k$1.1k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.9971.000$3.0k+$6.21
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9360.982$982.00+$45.85
Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? · Yes0.9390.968$755.20+$22.52
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · No0.8750.935$561.00+$36.00
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? · No0.9560.966$540.60+$5.36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.945$472.50+$67.50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8600.875$352.46+$6.04
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? · No0.8920.964$328.78+$24.47
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · No0.9140.989$296.70+$22.47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9500.960$287.85+$2.75
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8820.911$218.76+$7.09
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.9971.000$200.00+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:42Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.997$74.78
08-02 23:41Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.999$18.98
08-02 23:39Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.998$29.94
08-02 23:39Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.999$121.57
08-02 23:37Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.8438985118$34.59
08-02 23:28Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026?BUY0.9884396667$29.65
08-02 08:59Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026?BUY0.9882345$19.76
08-02 08:58Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.999$491.51
08-01 08:21U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.998$99.80
08-01 08:09China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.97$9.70
08-01 08:00Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026?BUY0.99$9.90
08-01 07:59Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.997$6.54
08-01 07:57Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.989$4.95
07-31 15:50Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.998$11.98
07-31 06:58Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.912$72.96