Sunbe
0xf4c7a145c2266c13eb7f3c12928d3becd989def7
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $276.4k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $567.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.792 | 0.933 | $235.77 | +$35.77 |
| Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026? · No | 0.884 | 0.760 | $137.54 | −$22.46 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.318 | 0.285 | $89.74 | −$10.26 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.065 | $69.64 | −$80.36 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.175 | $35.24 | −$117.76 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.334Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.741Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
- +$583.95at 0.339Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$318.87at 0.671Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$247.45at 0.676Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 12:58 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.1k |
| 09-11 12:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.81 | $98.24 |
| 09-10 12:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.21 |
| 09-10 12:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.62 | $75.19 |
| 09-10 12:49 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-10 12:48 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.13 |
| 09-09 12:18 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | BUY | 0.1962891959 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 12:16 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.1548511977 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 12:16 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 12:16 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:16 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:15 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:15 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | BUY | 0.0180362167 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:15 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:14 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |