0xF48DcD8711A9eFF66c50Ae144F97597325222ac4-1780607476700
0xf48dcd8711a9eff66c50ae144f97597325222ac4
- Realised P&L
- $-46.38
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $5.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.49at 0.242Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$5.89at 0.253Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$5.18at 0.407Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
- +$4.11at 0.198Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$3.96at 0.208Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 03:34 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.22 |
| 09-24 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:22 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:15 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-22 16:55 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 19:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:12 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.74 |
| 09-21 19:11 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 09-20 03:53 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 21:28 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |