PolyBot

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Traders

0xf488ac8870acc71416f0a73d0ead7a831ad76b65

0xf488ac8870acc71416f0a73d0ead7a831ad76b65

Realised P&L
$-1.28
Volume
$247.10
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$4.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.8000.855$2.45+$0.16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No0.7700.760$0.99−$0.01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.2400.195$0.81−$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:39Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-05 14:38Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-01 10:57Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-30 10:53WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 30?BUY0.8$1.00
09-30 10:53WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 30?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-30 02:52SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-24 15:02Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-23 17:47Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4799999329$2.29
09-17 17:34Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.6599999942$2.29
09-17 07:56Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999497$2.29
09-10 08:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.3399999555$2.29
09-09 23:45Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3499999541$2.29
09-09 14:34Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.6999999389$2.29
09-09 06:32Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.4299999512$2.29
09-08 18:08Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7299999841$2.29