0xf488ac8870acc71416f0a73d0ead7a831ad76b65
0xf488ac8870acc71416f0a73d0ead7a831ad76b65
- Realised P&L
- $-1.28
- Volume
- $247.10
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.855 | $2.45 | +$0.16 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.760 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.195 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.28at 0.308Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.369Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.11at 0.430Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.91at 0.440US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.64at 0.470Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:57 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:53 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:53 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:02 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:47 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999329 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 17:34 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999942 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 07:56 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-10 08:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3399999555 | $2.29 |
| 09-09 23:45 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |
| 09-09 14:34 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.6999999389 | $2.29 |
| 09-09 06:32 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999512 | $2.29 |
| 09-08 18:08 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $2.29 |