Jaydotchan88
0xf47fc8e0bdbc8354a17868fb4eda7636560717ac
- Realised P&L
- $35.86
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $64.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.610 | $22.59 | +$2.59 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.373 | $17.96 | −$2.04 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.285 | $15.83 | −$14.17 |
| Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.375 | $7.81 | −$2.19 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.19 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.00at 0.4002024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$29.26at 0.606Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$24.11at 0.457Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?
- +$18.71at 0.577Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.68at 0.477Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 05:37 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4159999885 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 22:59 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.027 | $0.84 |
| 07-17 00:30 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 20:59 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.57 |
| 07-14 20:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5649190953 | $25.00 |
| 07-12 00:38 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $15.00 |
| 07-07 01:22 | Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 21:52 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.52 |
| 07-05 22:13 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 21:02 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 20:50 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 00:47 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8299999978 | $30.00 |
| 07-04 00:47 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 07-02 03:45 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.85 | $48.19 |
| 07-01 11:06 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |