Mansurbek
0xf47e46e55a9c2d53e2c026dc79161537c07f4179
- Realised P&L
- $13.18
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $264.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No | 0.942 | 0.956 | $55.12 | +$0.81 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.955 | $54.77 | +$0.86 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.958 | 0.975 | $53.29 | +$0.90 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.962 | $50.99 | −$0.69 |
| Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.963 | 0.882 | $49.19 | −$4.52 |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · No | 0.942 | 0.888 | $1.08 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.77at 0.953Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$2.07at 0.961Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
- +$1.44at 0.950Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?
- +$1.20at 0.958NATO dissolves before 2027?
- +$0.66at 0.940Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 08:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.98 | $21.71 |