0xf46aCF1885cA4b551222638b36E4425fcE98cE2B-1775425080099
0xf46acf1885ca4b551222638b36e4425fce98ce2b
- Realised P&L
- $3.09
- Volume
- $191.91
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $3.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.017 | $2.42 | −$12.58 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.144 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.070 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.09at 0.196Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$-1.00at 0.037Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 20:25 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 20:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $0.94 |
| 04-17 20:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $0.92 |
| 04-17 20:24 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 04-17 19:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 04-17 19:44 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |