PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf45812689a85d8e131264c1822e847da6A154732-1767657742012

0xf45812689a85d8e131264c1822e847da6a154732

Realised P&L
$-164.69
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$17.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.046$7.15$12.85
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$2.85$7.15
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0330.026$2.41$0.59
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.009$1.81$8.19
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1270.016$1.26$8.74
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.1100.023$1.05$3.95
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.015$1.04$8.96
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$5.00
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$31.00
US strike on Cuba by January 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$5.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$15.00
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$5.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$5.00
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$5.00
US strike on Colombia by January 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$5.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-07 21:13New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? BUY0.0109999919$1.33
01-06 00:42Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0329999897$3.00
01-06 00:42Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?BUY0.014$5.00
01-06 00:39Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.0619999886$5.00
01-06 00:38Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?BUY0.1699999956$31.00
01-06 00:35US strike on Cuba by January 31?BUY0.0439999918$5.00
01-06 00:33US strike on Colombia by January 31?BUY0.0444137305$5.00
01-06 00:33U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.0230000001$5.00
01-06 00:33Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0339999936$5.00
01-06 00:30Maduro mugshot released by January 9?BUY0.1899999908$15.00
01-06 00:26Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.12745097$10.00
01-06 00:23Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
01-06 00:22Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0469999956$10.00
01-06 00:22Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
01-06 00:18Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00