sheisgorgeous
0xf44b6d6918ab780f6caf5a643997b4e36ac9c2b3
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $134.4k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.997 | $7.3k | +$267.59 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.075 | $197.63 | −$802.37 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.969 | $41.21 | +$1.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$821.14at 0.883Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$534.10at 0.686Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?
- +$375.42at 0.705Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$375.42at 0.750Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$345.06at 0.911Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 06:16 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999995 | $40.00 |
| 05-18 05:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.0k |
| 03-26 05:37 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.8862897291 | $3.3k |
| 03-26 05:37 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.892 | $3.3k |
| 03-26 05:36 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.8799999975 | $229.50 |
| 03-26 05:36 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.028332472 | $229.50 |
| 03-26 04:59 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.8799999997 | $2.7k |
| 03-26 04:57 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.9579302667 | $2.7k |
| 03-22 04:07 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.8882281033 | $2.5k |
| 03-22 04:07 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.7691508681 | $2.5k |
| 03-16 03:39 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.35 |
| 03-14 14:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14? | SELL | 0.98 | $6.69 |
| 03-14 02:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14? | BUY | 0.8869999609 | $6.05 |
| 03-13 15:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.76 |
| 03-13 13:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13? | BUY | 0.9 | $43.12 |