PolyBot

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Traders

0xf42e1b768c296236b4d8f6bfd3a41c6185fd9c0c

Realised P&L
$19.64
Volume
$97.23
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$34.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar20.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:40Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.7199997408$2.00
08-04 08:36Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call?BUY0.71$2.00
08-04 00:35Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.4909999661$2.00
08-03 16:35Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-03 08:34Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.64$2.00
08-03 00:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-03 00:28Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
08-02 16:27Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4499999441$1.61
08-02 07:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-02 07:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-01 23:01Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-01 14:56Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-01 02:08Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.52$1.56
07-31 18:08Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 10:07Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91