PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-04
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.38. up 0.25 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.10 to 0.38. 141 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.38131131
0.39413544
0.40359903
0.411,1682,071
0.421,1923,263
0.431,9535,216
0.441,6336,849
0.451,3288,177
0.461,1369,313
0.471,24510,558
0.4810010,658
0.4925510,913

Spread0.01Mid0.38

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.37241241
0.36349590
0.355,1325,722
0.345306,251
0.331,5537,804
0.327328,536
0.311558,691
0.302738,964
0.292909,254
0.284329,686
0.271779,863
0.26409,903

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.63241241
0.64349590
0.655,1325,722
0.665306,251
0.671,5537,804
0.687328,536
0.691558,691
0.702738,964
0.712909,254
0.724329,686
0.731779,863
0.74409,903

Spread0.01Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.62131131
0.61413544
0.60359903
0.591,1682,071
0.581,1923,263
0.571,9535,216
0.561,6336,849
0.551,3288,177
0.541,1369,313
0.531,24510,558
0.5210010,658
0.5125510,913

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
Bobi-BeebsYes11,044.18
Kaiji123Yes7,149.2
Topman1031Yes6,000
smalltimezzzYes5,976.18
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
LinaBell🦊Yes5,000
RickRockRickYes4,000
PrexpectYes3,983.77
hetaczYes3,700.03
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,099.1
SugarinaYes3,000
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,811
BitgodYes2,690.81
sazzaaYes2,455.65
0x9b257ead1a6240d4ab5c2ae0253Yes2,299.97
MilkTeaaYes2,267
LuckyMANNNYes2,100
0xFd67277Fa638e39eaE6Yes1,999.92
Solitude26Yes1,948.91

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:48:39BUYNo0.62999991813$2.00
00:48:33BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:47:06BUYYes0.37999984353$1.02
00:47:06BUYYes0.37999996819$3.57
00:47:05SELLYes0.37199$73.63
00:38:14BUYYes0.379999984825$9.47
00:30:08BUYYes0.37999987093$1.06
00:30:08BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:30:06BUYNo0.62999991813$2.00
00:29:59BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:27:20BUYYes0.37999989233$1.20
00:26:45BUYNo0.62999991813$2.00
00:23:11BUYNo0.62999991813$2.00
00:22:09BUYNo0.62999991813$2.00
00:22:08BUYNo0.62999991813$2.00
00:22:08BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:22:08BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:22:06BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:21:27BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:21:24BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:21:20BUYNo0.62999991813$2.00
00:20:11BUYNo0.62999998816$10.00
00:19:59BUYYes0.37999994685$2.00
00:19:39BUYNo0.62999991813$2.00
00:18:41BUYYes0.37999989233$1.20