monolog
0xf3f62f1bda4159aa4c6feee1eb7a97c5a6ff6f83
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.952 | 0.966 | $1.5k | +$21.70 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.825 | $0.83 | +$0.63 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.175 | $0.18 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.0kat 0.284Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$4.7kat 0.820Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches
- +$4.2kat 0.438Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D
- +$3.4kat 0.771Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D
- +$2.8kat 0.366Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 18:55 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | SELL | 0.62 | $81.16 |
| 10-03 17:18 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.7798782321 | $7.2k |
| 10-03 17:18 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.7538530571 | $2.8k |
| 10-03 16:56 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 10-03 16:00 | Spread: Brazil (-4.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-03 15:32 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.36 | $116.47 |
| 10-03 15:30 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.37 | $120.10 |
| 10-03 14:13 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $5.2k |
| 10-03 13:00 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.83 | $154.71 |
| 10-02 15:05 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | SELL | 0.4 | $16.40 |
| 10-02 15:01 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | BUY | 0.39 | $427.38 |
| 10-01 20:38 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.39 | $1.9k |
| 10-01 16:51 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | BUY | 0.37 | $781.07 |
| 10-01 13:03 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | SELL | 0.84 | $88.20 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | BUY | 0.84 | $109.59 |