GuyTIV
0xf3f40ca02086658bed7190c51fa274978b4ab5b8
- Realised P&L
- $-233.29
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $479.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.423 | 0.305 | $461.18 | −$178.82 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes | 0.364 | 0.085 | $15.17 | −$49.83 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.065 | $2.17 | −$2.83 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.065 | $0.78 | −$1.97 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 20:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999498 | $2.75 |
| 04-23 20:07 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.3642046599 | $65.00 |
| 04-23 19:59 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 19:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4232614786 | $640.00 |