PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

turuncudana

0xf3b5a1de2402f1357db128dd7ee00c23605c0c33

Realised P&L
$-53.26
Volume
$71.8k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$349.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8890.875$79.44−$1.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? · Yes0.9580.920$76.40−$3.11
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1740.153$31.30−$4.38
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · No0.8200.775$28.13−$1.63
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.8300.775$21.70−$1.54
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9200.915$20.30−$0.11
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.1000.085$16.99−$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.155$14.41−$0.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$14.32+$0.84
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1300.115$11.50−$1.50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8160.799$9.59−$0.20
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8700.865$6.51−$0.04
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.9630.958$6.37−$0.03
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0880.051$5.05−$3.75
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · No0.9190.974$4.85+$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.