0xf3AE6F962d305AA658E9ba3cC1aDFdEB370eE5B1-1770039311335
0xf3ae6f962d305aa658e9ba3cc1adfdeb370ee5b1
- Realised P&L
- $-92.33
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $304.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.201 | $220.24 | +$11.37 |
| Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · No | 0.496 | 0.350 | $84.58 | −$35.37 |
| Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.94 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.74 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.57at 0.569Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$15.54at 0.072Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$-10.50at 0.430Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:19 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.80 |
| 09-11 16:59 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1769450549 | $16.10 |
| 09-11 16:58 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1759537037 | $19.00 |
| 09-11 16:58 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1759443659 | $54.77 |
| 09-11 16:57 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.172 | $10.73 |
| 09-10 19:53 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.207 | $108.26 |
| 06-20 20:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1179999961 | $25.74 |
| 06-20 20:11 | Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $27.00 |
| 06-10 21:18 | Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $43.94 |
| 06-10 21:17 | Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $10.50 |
| 06-10 21:14 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.106 | $29.68 |
| 03-10 09:53 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $64.75 |
| 02-16 20:16 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $75.19 |
| 02-09 07:42 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $27.26 |
| 02-08 23:21 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $31.36 |