ruthereyetsir
0xf39e256b58f5a0aa5c0b021be99d89df884c9f90
- Realised P&L
- $-12.40
- Volume
- $500.83
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $110.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.875 | $52.50 | +$13.50 |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.865 | $43.25 | +$15.75 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.027 | $8.10 | −$27.51 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? · No | 0.892 | 0.970 | $6.11 | +$0.49 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.036 | $0.53 | −$1.21 |
| Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.06at 0.387StarCraft II: Bunny vs Lambo (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs
- +$1.44at 0.716StarCraft II: Clem vs Rogue (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs
- +$-5.67at 0.567StarCraft II: Classic vs Solar (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 21:11 | StarCraft II: Bunny vs Lambo (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 05-15 21:11 | StarCraft II: Clem vs Rogue (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs | BUY | 0.71 | $3.61 |
| 05-13 22:40 | StarCraft II: Classic vs Solar (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 05-13 21:50 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $39.00 |
| 05-13 21:47 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 05-13 21:46 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1174376084 | $17.60 |