PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

felixfff

0xf386027c8fc62820fbd1d325045e0a18824c0596

Realised P&L
$-119.86
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$57.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.0940.135$50.19+$15.19
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1600.112$3.48−$1.52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.145$1.93−$0.07
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes0.1200.105$1.75−$0.25
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.3450.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up0.0540.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.2540.000$0.00−$4.00
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.0460.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Romania? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 12:09Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Romania?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
09-22 11:52Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
09-22 11:47Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.1199999976$2.00
09-22 11:39Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.0459999988$1.00
09-22 11:38Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-17 08:21Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-16 15:12Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1$25.00
06-12 12:24Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$1.00
06-12 12:10Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?SELL0.004$0.17
06-12 12:10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.07$1.08
05-16 19:48Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
05-16 19:48Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0554746892$10.00
03-31 13:56Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.239999964$3.56
03-31 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.4599999968$18.44
03-31 13:29Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.2799999731$4.48