felixfff
0xf386027c8fc62820fbd1d325045e0a18824c0596
- Realised P&L
- $-119.86
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $57.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.99at 0.195Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$34.96at 0.125Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$22.33at 0.180Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
- +$14.69at 0.254Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$8.59at 0.170Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:09 | Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Romania? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 11:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 11:47 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 11:39 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:38 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:21 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 15:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 06-12 12:24 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 12:10 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.17 |
| 06-12 12:10 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.08 |
| 05-16 19:48 | Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0989999118 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 19:48 | Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0554746892 | $10.00 |
| 03-31 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.239999964 | $3.56 |
| 03-31 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $18.44 |
| 03-31 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $4.48 |