allinhype
0xf3851e1cef47daaa2a55d8429e019e55266bba06
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.760 | $5.1k | +$1.7k |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.610 | $4.5k | +$951.40 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.860 | $282.67 | −$3.29 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.216 | $194.10 | −$24.36 |
| StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.600 | $136.56 | +$13.84 |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.445 | $109.49 | +$6.09 |
| StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.570 | $85.41 | −$0.50 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.148 | $42.25 | +$9.43 |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · No | 0.974 | 0.974 | $29.20 | −$0.01 |
| StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.210 | $6.30 | −$0.30 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.044 | $5.19 | +$0.94 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.150 | $4.50 | +$0.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 12:12 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $285.96 |
| 09-13 12:11 | StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.974 | $29.22 |
| 09-13 12:10 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 09-13 12:10 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.60 |
| 09-13 12:09 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $28.36 |
| 09-13 12:09 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-13 12:09 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.41 | $66.84 |
| 09-13 12:08 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.47 | $21.15 |
| 09-13 12:08 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-13 09:47 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 09-13 09:47 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.49 |
| 09-13 09:47 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.03 |
| 09-13 09:47 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-13 09:47 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.57 | $47.84 |
| 09-13 09:46 | StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |