0xf37d1f15663a6840291c5687f2b6f3bc8f2c97ea
0xf37d1f15663a6840291c5687f2b6f3bc8f2c97ea
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $104.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $396.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.035 | $214.44 | −$857.74 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.016 | $135.93 | +$25.49 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.020 | $11.77 | −$42.98 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.021 | $11.10 | −$140.53 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.021 | $7.87 | −$67.79 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.183 | $7.61 | −$2.39 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.018 | $3.83 | −$29.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.005 | $2.02 | −$17.88 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.007 | $1.66 | −$18.24 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.029 | $0.74 | −$9.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$183.00at 0.390US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$139.30at 0.430US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$22.78at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$12.06at 0.660US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$-3.40at 0.200Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 01:10 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.64 |
| 04-05 07:24 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.131942 | $6.60 |
| 04-04 19:51 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $53.83 |
| 04-04 19:50 | Trump out as President by April 30? | SELL | 0.01803565 | $54.11 |
| 04-04 19:37 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.024 | $61.50 |
| 04-04 19:36 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $61.80 |
| 04-04 19:20 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.0211395728 | $385.41 |
| 04-04 19:20 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $389.30 |
| 04-04 19:19 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.0195637596 | $251.87 |
| 04-04 19:08 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.0219712192 | $199.00 |
| 04-04 02:24 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.0112679672 | $49.75 |
| 04-04 02:11 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $49.75 |
| 04-04 02:09 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999988 | $99.50 |
| 03-31 07:16 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6599999987 | $49.75 |
| 03-30 11:14 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $110.44 |