PolyBot

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Traders

Kartun

0xf37b979cb383b380fe65d8327d6be224d9ef5099

Realised P&L
$-356.23
Volume
$24.2k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$140.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2170.065$40.30$94.30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1250.045$34.30$60.05
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.011$17.60$77.60
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0360.026$11.93$4.17
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.009$11.90$57.09
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.015$11.60$66.40
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.029$8.55$18.45
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0600.019$3.90$8.10
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0710.004$0.19$3.67
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$8.00
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$36.22
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00$51.04
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$11.00
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$4.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 09:42Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?SELL0.099$0.40
03-18 08:53Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.052$20.80
03-18 08:45Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.106$4.21
02-28 17:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.12$13.20
02-24 13:05Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$27.00
02-09 16:04Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.06$12.00
02-04 11:16Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?BUY0.03055835$12.22
02-03 11:23Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$20.00
01-30 19:48Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?SELL0.9327225$37.31
01-30 09:48Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?BUY0.616$24.64
01-30 09:25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?SELL0.001$0.30
01-29 16:19Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.06$24.00
01-29 16:03Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.23$50.60
01-28 13:21Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.052$20.80
01-27 08:36Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$36.00