Kartun
0xf37b979cb383b380fe65d8327d6be224d9ef5099
- Realised P&L
- $-356.23
- Volume
- $24.2k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $140.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.68at 0.027Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
- +$30.00at 0.080Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
- +$24.00at 0.240Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$15.14at 0.017Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$12.67at 0.616Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 09:42 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.099 | $0.40 |
| 03-18 08:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $20.80 |
| 03-18 08:45 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.106 | $4.21 |
| 02-28 17:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.20 |
| 02-24 13:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $27.00 |
| 02-09 16:04 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 02-04 11:16 | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BUY | 0.03055835 | $12.22 |
| 02-03 11:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 01-30 19:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | SELL | 0.9327225 | $37.31 |
| 01-30 09:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BUY | 0.616 | $24.64 |
| 01-30 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 01-29 16:19 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $24.00 |
| 01-29 16:03 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $50.60 |
| 01-28 13:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $20.80 |
| 01-27 08:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $36.00 |