PolyBot

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Traders

PastorOfMuppets

0xf3714c8a643b25fe73d20c57a0aa16b5a31d9812

Realised P&L
$13.1k
Volume
$2.88M
Markets traded
1,182
Open portfolio
$196.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,182
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · No0.2270.735$73.50+$50.80
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? · Yes0.6130.332$71.84$60.72
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · Yes0.3580.265$30.83$10.80
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.2750.198$19.99$7.81
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0130.002$0.59$4.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.2030.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.2670.000$0.00$80.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$8.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.1480.000$0.00$36.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Up0.1130.000$0.00$18.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down0.2020.000$0.00$25.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 07:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.1799999928$20.00
08-11 07:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.1399999948$20.00
08-10 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.1799999928$20.00
08-02 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.1126470114$13.98
08-02 07:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.03$1.89
08-01 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.1340687914$20.00
07-28 06:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.5095882521$100.00
07-26 07:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.1549816249$100.00
07-26 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.4609998626$134.22
07-26 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.0858688481$50.00
07-26 07:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.4466058894$100.00
07-26 07:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.5339481053$85.81
07-25 06:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.2046896628$30.00
07-24 18:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.1299999951$20.00
07-24 17:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.0613935431$20.00