PastorOfMuppets
0xf3714c8a643b25fe73d20c57a0aa16b5a31d9812
- Realised P&L
- $13.1k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 1,182
- Open portfolio
- $196.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,182
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.323Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$5.4kat 0.738Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$3.6kat 0.274Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$3.5kat 0.020Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.2kat 0.660Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 November 17-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 08-10 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1126470114 | $13.98 |
| 08-02 07:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $1.89 |
| 08-01 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1340687914 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 06:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5095882521 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 07:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1549816249 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | SELL | 0.4609998626 | $134.22 |
| 07-26 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0858688481 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4466058894 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5339481053 | $85.81 |
| 07-25 06:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2046896628 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0613935431 | $20.00 |