PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf36861adb4a2d9e52a58de8860dbccb6237dcfb1

Realised P&L
$-121.63
Volume
$75.6k
Markets traded
1,069
Open portfolio
$14.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,069
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 18:42Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?SELL0.999$2.53
06-25 23:16Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?BUY0.7899996998$2.00
06-25 21:16Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?BUY0.76$2.00
06-25 20:19Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?BUY0.75$2.00
06-25 19:16Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
06-23 17:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?BUY0.7$2.00
06-23 17:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?BUY0.7$2.00
06-23 08:15Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 24?BUY0.76$2.00
06-23 05:31Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
06-20 06:15Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?BUY0.5299997376$2.00
06-18 17:15Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?BUY0.8$2.00
06-18 16:58Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?SELL0.76$2.14
06-18 12:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?BUY0.71$2.00
06-18 01:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?BUY0.74$2.00
06-18 00:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?BUY0.7299999087$2.00