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Traders

Kernkraft3000

0xf34e14e7d55c8857a6ff98959e7d485c0adb6ec7

Realised P&L
$-134.19
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$289.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · No0.2101.000$95.24+$75.24
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? · No0.5671.000$56.51+$24.47
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.4401.000$34.09+$19.09
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8801.000$28.41+$3.41
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? · No0.7701.000$25.97+$5.97
GTA VI released before June 2026? · No0.3101.000$16.13+$11.13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5600.195$8.36−$15.64
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · Yes0.2880.042$7.28−$42.72
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2030.075$3.69−$6.31
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.036$3.42−$11.58
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2180.036$3.29−$16.71
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.1890.043$2.25−$7.75
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · Yes0.3700.060$1.62−$8.38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.4700.055$1.17−$8.83
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.4200.038$0.90−$9.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 12:24US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?BUY0.5669999974$32.04
04-21 12:16Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?BUY0.7699999815$20.00
04-21 12:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.2099999922$20.00
04-21 12:09Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.4399999847$15.00
04-21 12:04Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.8799999986$25.00
11-20 12:12Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.2034192791$10.00
11-20 12:12NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.1886530036$10.00
11-20 12:12Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?BUY0.2884370216$50.00
11-20 12:11Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?BUY0.3947368151$5.00
11-20 12:11Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2185911798$20.00
11-20 12:11Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
11-20 12:10Will Metamask daily perps revenue hit $100k in 2025?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
11-20 11:42Anthropic acquired before 2027?BUY0.2801932179$10.00
11-20 11:41Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
11-20 11:37Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
Trader Kernkraft3000 · PolyBot Pro