Kernkraft3000
0xf34e14e7d55c8857a6ff98959e7d485c0adb6ec7
- Realised P&L
- $-134.19
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $289.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.88at 0.213Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?
- +$32.11at 0.438GTA 6 launch postponed?
- +$27.04at 0.270Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
- +$13.81at 0.420Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
- +$7.67at 0.395Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 12:24 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BUY | 0.5669999974 | $32.04 |
| 04-21 12:16 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.7699999815 | $20.00 |
| 04-21 12:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 04-21 12:09 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 04-21 12:04 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8799999986 | $25.00 |
| 11-20 12:12 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2034192791 | $10.00 |
| 11-20 12:12 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1886530036 | $10.00 |
| 11-20 12:12 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | BUY | 0.2884370216 | $50.00 |
| 11-20 12:11 | Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? | BUY | 0.3947368151 | $5.00 |
| 11-20 12:11 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2185911798 | $20.00 |
| 11-20 12:11 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 11-20 12:10 | Will Metamask daily perps revenue hit $100k in 2025? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 11-20 11:42 | Anthropic acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2801932179 | $10.00 |
| 11-20 11:41 | Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 11-20 11:37 | Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |