PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

frontenac

0xf316b0e46a9a42650a0f0cff3f3ffff9e9694608

Realised P&L
$-265.82
Volume
$38.3k
Markets traded
236
Open portfolio
$19.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded236
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.2300.075$15.10−$30.90
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? · Yes0.6620.085$1.70−$11.55
Will Trump deport more than 1m people? · Yes0.1000.028$1.37−$3.62
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026? · Yes0.7250.058$0.80−$9.20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3800.055$0.55−$3.25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9640.028$0.14−$4.68
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00−$4.00
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$9.00
Epstein client list released in 2025? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$10.44
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No0.3220.000$0.00−$10.60
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? · No0.2290.000$0.00−$14.90
Will Trump say "No more questions" in December? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00−$2.35
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$11.66
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$3.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-12 04:19Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?BUY0.75$3.75
01-12 04:05Rockets vs. KingsSELL0.69$1.38
01-11 18:01Rockets vs. KingsBUY0.16$9.60
01-11 17:58Nets vs. GrizzliesBUY0.3$4.16
01-11 17:57Nets vs. GrizzliesBUY0.3$3.00
01-11 17:52Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY0.998$9.98
01-11 06:23Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.651$9.77
01-09 17:27Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?BUY0.994$14.91
01-09 17:26Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?BUY0.994$9.94
01-09 17:26Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?BUY0.997$9.97
01-09 17:25Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY0.998$9.98
01-09 17:25Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY0.997$9.97
01-08 15:15Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY0.995$9.95
01-07 03:51Bruins vs. KrakenBUY0.46$4.60
01-07 03:49Mavericks vs. KingsBUY0.37$3.70